Misconfirm

Fodor believes that the everyday, lay explanations of behavior (of both people and beasts) in terms of beliefs and desires are of a piece with the sophisticated information-flow explanations of the neo-cognitivists, so that the self-evident acceptability of "the dog bit me because he thought I was someone else" ensures the inevitable theoretical soundness of something like " the dog's executive routine initiated the attack subroutine because in the course of perceptual analysis it generated and misconfirmed a false hypothesis about the identity of an object in its environment".

Chemicals have been misconfirmed in the past, misidentified, and that has caused a lot of problems.

When analysts mistakenly trust their common sense and misconfirm an improbable problem, they fail to exploit heuristics as a last resource.